New polling in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race shows each of the leading Democrat candidates narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers in potential general election matchups.

A survey released on Monday by TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics, or TIPP, found former gubernatorial candidate Abdul El-Sayed, U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow all leading Rogers in head-to-head general election matchups.

The poll comes as El-Sayed continues to hold a narrow lead in the Democrat primary. According to an average of recent polls compiled by 270toWin, El-Sayed leads the Democrat field with 29.5% support, followed by Stevens at 26.5%.

TIPP’s latest poll, however, showed Stevens leading the Democrat primary, receiving 35% support compared to 31% for El-Sayed and 13% for McMorrow.

Stevens’ campaign applauded the polling, which was conducted for the League of American Workers.

“These new numbers underscore Haley’s growing momentum in the race as she continues to build support across Michigan and earn backing from some of the state’s most respected Democratic leaders,” it said in a statement following the poll’s release.While El-Sayed currently leads the average of recent Democrat primary polling, he appears to be the party’s weakest general election candidate against Rogers.

In the TIPP poll, Stevens led Rogers 48% to 41%, while McMorrow led Rogers 45% to 42%. El-Sayed held the narrowest advantage, leading Rogers 43% to 42%.

Averages of the three most recent general election polls show a similarly tight race. Stevens leads Rogers 43% to 42.3%, while McMorrow trails Rogers 42.3% to 42.7%. El-Sayed trails Rogers by the widest margin of the three Democrat candidates, 41.3% to 43%.

Michigan voters will elect one member to the U.S. Senate on Nov. 3. The primary is scheduled for Aug. 4. The race will fill the seat currently held by U.S. Sen. Gary Peters, who announced in January 2025 that he will not seek reelection.

Peters, a Democrat, said at the time that after decades in public office, he was ready to step aside and “turn over the reins.”

The election for the open seat is expected to draw national attention.

The TIPP survey was conducted May 20-23 among 1,456 registered Michigan voters and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7%.

Federal Election Commission filings show all four candidates have raised millions of dollars as the race ramps up.

Through March 31, Stevens led Democrat candidates in fundraising with $8.87 million raised and $3.39 million cash on hand. McMorrow reported $8.62 million raised and $3.69 million cash on hand, while El-Sayed reported $7.65 million raised and $2.53 million cash on hand.

Rogers reported $7.62 million raised and the largest cash reserve in the field, with $4.21 million on hand.

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