Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes smiles following a game against the Washington Commanders on Monday in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills own Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in the regular season.

It’s been reversed when it matters most in the playoffs.

The Bills have won four straight matchups between the teams in the regular season but the Chiefs have won the past four playoff meetings, including two AFC championship games.

Mahomes led Kansas City to a 32-29 victory in January to send the Chiefs to their third straight Super Bowl.

Two weeks into this season, critics were saying Kansas City’s dynasty has ended. But the Chiefs (5-3) have won five of six and are playing some of their best football in years.

The Bills (5-2) won four in a row to start the season and were considered Super Bowl favorites before consecutive losses.

The Chiefs are 2-point favorites on BetMGM Sportsbook.

Pro Picks predicts Harrison Butker hits a game-winning field goal as time expires.

CHIEFS: 27-26

ARIZONA (2-5) at DALLAS (3-4-1)

Line: Cowboys minus 2 1/2

The Cardinals are coming off a bye and riding a five-game losing streak. They should have Kyler Murray back to face the NFL’s second-worst defense. The Cowboys have been up and down over the first half with most of the troubles on the defensive side. Dak Prescott, with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, is leading the No. 1 passing attack in the NFL. The Cowboys are 14-7 ATS in prime-time games since 2021 with Prescott, including 2-0 this season.

BEST BET: COWBOYS: 30-23

SEATTLE (5-2) at WASHINGTON (3-5)

Line: Seahawks minus 3 1/2

Sam Darnold has provided the Seahawks consistent play at quarterback and the defense is allowing 19.4 points per game. Jayden Daniels is expected back and Washington needs him to lead an offense missing other key players.

UPSET SPECIAL: COMMANDERS: 23-20

BALTIMORE (2-5) at MIAMI (2-6)

Line: Ravens minus 7 1/2

Lamar Jackson is expected to return for the Ravens after missing three games with a hamstring injury. They need to start a winning streak.

RAVENS: 30-20

MINNESOTA (3-4) at DETROIT (5-2)

Line: Lions minus 8 1/2

J.J. McCarthy is expected to return for the Vikings after missing five games with an ankle injury. The offensive line has to protect him better than they did for Carson Wentz. The Lions rebounded from a loss to the Chiefs with a convincing win over Tampa Bay before their bye week. The Lions are 8-0 ATS against Minnesota with QB Jared Goff.

LIONS: 31-17

CHICAGO (4-3) at CINCINNATI (3-5)

Line: Bears minus 3

The Bears need Caleb Williams to be better. He didn’t throw a touchdown pass in the past two games and has been inconsistent. That’s contributed to the team’s struggles in the red zone. The Bengals had a chance to even their record but surrendered 39 points to the lowly and previously winless Jets. Joe Flacco has 7 TDs and no interceptions in three games for Cincinnati.

BEARS: 26-22

CAROLINA (4-4) at GREEN BAY (5-1-1)

Line: Packers minus 13

With a depleted offensive line, Carolina’s best chance to stay close is for Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard running effectively no matter who is starting at quarterback. Jordan Love was outstanding for the Packers in his first head-to-head matchup against the Steelers. Green Bay has averaged 23.3 points in the second half of its past four games.

PACKERS: 30-16

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (5-3) at TENNESSEE (1-7)

Line: Chargers minus 9 1/2

Justin Herbert and the Chargers were impressive in a Thursday night win against Minnesota and have extra rest going into this matchup.

CHARGERS: 31-13

ATLANTA (3-4) at NEW ENGLAND (6-2)

Line: Patriots minus 6

The Falcons have lost two in a row since beating Buffalo. Drake Maye has emerged as an MVP candidate and Mike Vrabel has led an impressive turnaround in New England.

PATRIOTS: 23-20

SAN FRANCISCO (5-3) at NEW YORK GIANTS (2-6)

Line: 49ers minus 2 1/2

Christian McCaffrey could have a big day against a defense that allowed 150 yards rushing to Saquon Barkley and 104 to Tank Bigsby last week. The 49ers are missing many key players.

49ERS: 24-19

INDIANAPOLIS (7-1) at PITTSBURGH (4-3)

Line: Colts minus 3

The Colts are surging behind a rejuvenated Daniel Jones and MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor.

COLTS: 24-23

DENVER (6-2) at HOUSTON (3-4)

Line: Texans minus 1 1/2

A matchup of two of the best defenses in the NFL.

TEXANS: 19-16

JACKSONVILLE (4-3) at LAS VEGAS (2-5)

Line: Jaguars minus 3

The Jaguars followed up an impressive win over the Chiefs with consecutive duds. They’re coming off a bye week and need to get back on the winning track.

JAGUARS: 24-18

NEW ORLEANS (1-7) at LOS ANGELES RAMS (5-2)

Line: Rams minus 14

The Saints are a bad football team but their defense can cause trouble for opponents. They’ll give rookie QB Tyler Shough his first start to try to boost the offense.

RAMS: 30-13

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Last week: Straight up: 10-3. Against spread: 7-6.

Overall: Straight up: 89-31-1. Against spread: 62-58-1.