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Pro Picks: Steelers will edge the Packers

Green Bay Packers defensive end Micah Parsons walks onto the field afer the team's overtime game against the Dallas Cowboys on Sept. 28 in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Aaron Rodgers already beat one former team. Now, he’s going against his original one.

Rodgers faces the Green Bay Packers for the first time when they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. The four-time NFL MVP led the Packers to a Super Bowl title 15 years ago and was traded to the New York Jets in 2023.

Rodgers and the Steelers (4-2) beat the Jets in Week 1. The Packers (4-1-1) present a more difficult challenge.

Micah Parsons, who didn’t get the win against his old team, was unblockable last week, registering three sacks. He should give Rodgers trouble all night.

But the Packers haven’t been dominant since Week 1. They lost to the Browns, tied the Cowboys and had to rally to beat the Cardinals.

The Steelers are coming off extra rest following a loss to the Bengals.

Green Bay is a 3-point favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook. Pro Picks likes the upset.

UPSET SPECIAL: STEELERS: 24-23

SAN FRANCISCO (5-2) at HOUSTON (2-4)

Line: Texans minus 1 1/2

The 49ers are 4-1 with Mac Jones filling in for Brock Purdy. Christian McCaffery is doing everything for an offense missing several receivers. Even without stars Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, San Francisco’s defense excelled against Atlanta. Houston’s offense has held the team back while the defense has been formidable. The offensive line is still struggling to protect C.J. Stroud and the run game is lacking. The 49ers are 1-13 against the spread in their last 14 games following a win.

BEST BET: TEXANS: 23-18

TAMPA BAY (5-2) at NEW ORLEANS (1-6)

Line: Buccaneers minus 4

Baker Mayfield is coming off his worst game of the season and the Buccaneers lost Mike Evans for a significant period. But they have talented playmakers to help them overcome a big loss

BUCCANEERS: 24-17

NEW YORK JETS (0-7) at CINCINNATI (3-4)

Line: Bengals minus 6 1/2

Justin Fields or Tyrod Taylor? The Jets have been dismal no matter who is under center. Joe Flacco has rejuvenated Cincinnati’s offense.

BENGALS: 23-18

CLEVELAND (2-5) at NEW ENGLAND (5-2)

Line: Patriots minus 7

Myles Garrett and Cleveland’s top-ranked defense present a tough challenge for Drake Maye and the Patriots.

PATRIOTS: 23-17

BUFFALO (4-2) at CAROLINA (4-3)

Line: Bills minus 7 1/2

Josh Allen and the Bills had an extra week to reflect on two straight losses.

BILLS: 27-18

CHICAGO (4-2) at BALTIMORE (1-5)

Line: Ravens minus 6 1/2

Ben Johnson has led the Bears to four straight wins. D’Andre Swift has run wild while Caleb Williams is still inconsistent, and the defense is forcing turnovers at a fast pace with 15 in the last four games. A bye came at the right time for injury-riddled Baltimore. Lamar Jackson should be back for the Ravens, who are big favorites despite a terrible start.

RAVENS: 29-20

MIAMI (1-6) at ATLANTA (3-3)

Line: Falcons minus 7

The Dolphins are a mess and it seems like a matter of time before coach Mike McDaniel is out.

FALCONS: 28-18

NEW YORK GIANTS (2-5) at PHILADELPHIA (5-2)

Line: Eagles minus 7

Jaxson Dart, Cam Skattebo and the Giants dominated the Eagles a couple weeks ago. Now they’re coming off a devastating loss where the defense blew an 18-point lead in the final 6 minutes at Denver.

EAGLES: 31-22

DALLAS (3-3-1) at DENVER (5-2)

Line: Broncos minus 3

Dak Prescott is leading the NFL’s top-ranked offense. But the problem for the Cowboys is their 32nd-ranked defense.

BRONCOS: 27-22

TENNESSEE (1-6) at INDIANAPOLIS (6-1)

Line: Colts minus 14

The Titans showed some positive signs with a fast start under interim coach Mike McCoy before things fell apart last week.

COLTS: 29-16

WASHINGTON (3-4) at KANSAS CITY (4-3)

Line: Chiefs minus 12 1/2

Patrick Mahomes has all his playmakers, the defense is stout and the Chiefs are playing like Super Bowl contenders.

CHIEFS: 27-16

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Last week: Straight up: 13-2. Against spread: 8-7.

Overall: Straight up: 79-28-1. Against spread: 55-52-1.

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