The final snapshot of Wisconsin’s races for governor and U.S. Senate reveals the Republicans have momentum heading into next month’s election.

The latest Marquette Law School Poll gives Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a six-point lead over Democrat Mandela Barnes, 52-46, among likely voters.

The poll gives Gov. Tony Evers a one-point lead over Republican Tim Michels, 47-46, among the same likely voters.

“The gap has narrowed,” MU lead pollster Charles Franklin said. “In August Evers was up by four points, then in September by three and now by one point.”

The trend is similar in the Senate race. “We had Barnes by seven the week after the (August) primary,” Franklin said. “Then it tightened to a one-point Johnson advantage in September, And now it’s a six-point Johnson advantage in October.”

Franklin said the tightening in both races is not because more Republicans or Democrats are making up their minds. It’s because of independent voters.

“In August Evers had an 11-point advantage with independents. Then in September that came down to a six-point advantage. And this month it’s actually Michels with a one-point advantage among independents,” Franklin said. “In August Barnes had a 15-point advantage with independents. Then in September it was Johnson by two points with independents. And this month is Johnson by six points among independents.”

The Marquette Law School Poll was conducted Oct. 3-9 with 801 registered Wisconsin voters interviewed. The poll completed 596 of these interviews before the Oct. 7 debate between the U.S. Senate candidates.

The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.3%.